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What happened to Tenang By Election?

By Steven Choong

BN claimed a huge victory in last night by-election. BN wanted a big victory to create the perception that Johor is still BN fortress. Well, on the surface, they appeared to have succeeded with a 3707 majority with Dato Chua Soi Lek claiming the Chinese had gone back to support BN.

The big win by BN is nothing but a created number.

BN has access to meteorological forecast and would have known that it would be a wet period during the campaigning period as well as the polling day. Also, it is a day which was just 3 days before Chinese new year and so would be a perfect day to ensure low turn-out for non-Malay areas as those working outstation would not come back to vote.

The 2nd and 3rd generation Felda settlers also would not come back to vote. We witnessed that the government machinery were mainly deployed in Malay areas to carry voters to the polling centers. Requests from PAS to have trucks deployed in Labis Utara met with many excuses as to why a truck or boat could not be deployed to ferry voters from the town to the polling center.

Hence, Labis Utara recorded the lowest turn-out rate of 48%. Whereas, the Malay areas recorded exceptional turn-out rate with Chemplak Barat registering 89%, Felda Tenang 81%, and Chemplak 79%. The other 3 Malay majority areas were all registering above 72% turn-out rate. This would mean that the lowest turn-out rate was even higher than the average turn-out rate of 70% in 2008.

There were also incidents of phantom voters and also votes buying which all contributed to a higher majority for BN.

What if the voters turn-out rate in the 6 Malay majority areas were normalized as if they are like the other 6 non-Malay majority areas? The non-Malay majority areas have an average turn-out rate of 56% and so if we normalize the 6 Malay majority area to that of 56% turn-out rate, the majority would have reduced by about 1,350 votes and the majority would only be 2,350 votes. The overall normalized Malay support would have increased by 1% to 23%.

PAS lost in Labis Timor and Labis in this PRK. The major factor was because of low turn-out rate for older and younger voters and also the decreased support from Malay and Indian. In general, the overall Malay support had reduced from about 22% to 12% and the overall Indian support had reduced from 50% to 20%.

However, the overall Chinese support has increased from 53% to 60% with Labis Tengah registering the highest of 72% and Tenang Station the lowest of 47%. The other 2 Chinese majority areas of Labis Timor and Labis registering 67% and 65% Chinese support respectively. The above has proven that Dato Chua Soi Lek had misled the public by saying that Chinese voters had gone back to the BN.

- Steven Choong was the PKR operations manager at Tenang

Secret Israel-South Sudan Ties

As his country begins the countdown to independence, legendary South Sudanese commander Gen. Joseph Lagu talks about days gone by, and of his people's secret ties with Israel.

By Danna HarmanJUBA, South Sudan - In each country he used a different code name: He went by Charles as he traveled by road to Uganda and onto Congo; switched to Nathan as he flew to Rome; and then became Leonard when he picked up his fake passport and traveled to the Comoros Islands. It was only three weeks after setting out from dusty Juba, South Sudan - when he finally landed at his destination - that he heard his real name spoken out loud. "Welcome, Gen. Joseph Lagu," the Israeli officers receiving him at Ben-Gurion International Airport said. "We have been waiting for you."

The year was 1969, and the predominantly Christian and black southern Sudan was mired in a long and brutal civil war against the Muslim-Arab north, a war that would claim half a million casualties before a fragile truce was declared three years later. When the legendary South Sudanese commander returned home from his clandestine Israel mission that year, he carried with him Prime Minister Golda Meir's promise of weapons and training - critical help, he says today, that subsequently turned the south's struggle for freedom around. "It help set us on the path to where we are today," he says, "and that will never be forgotten."

Anwar, APCO dan Keganasan

Hari ini CNN mengaitkan Dato Seri Anwar Ibrahim dengan pertubuhan Ikhwanul Muslimun yang kemudian dikaitkan dengan keganasan.  Nampaknya pihak tertentu beriya-iya hendak menjatuhkan imej Anwar, di dalam dan di luar negara.

PRK Tenang

Tunisia, Lebanon and Egypt: Western Hypocrisy Exposed

In the last couple of weeks, the world witness new governments being formed - in Lebanon and (impending) in Tunisia.  Now the Tunisian phenomenon seems to be spreading to nearby Egypt.  Is Tunisia the first card in the dominoes to fall?  This is indeed a unique moment - a defining one - for the Middle East which has for so long being governed by autocrats and backed by the West.

1.  Reactions from the West to the toppling of the Tunisian dictator, Ben Ali, have been ambivalent.  While They said they 'welcome democracy' they also warned against descent to turmoil.  

2.  In fact, it had been the West which was the source of all evils in the Middle East.  Ben Ali, and Habib Bourgiba before him, could not have survived for long without support from the West.

3.  Now it is the turn of Mubarak, another puppet  of the West, to face the music.  His survival is crucial to Western policies in the Middle East, and indeed to the fate of Israel.
4.  The reaction from the US to events in Egypt is that the Egyptian government should implement reforms in order to satisfy the protesters.
5.  What the protesters are demanding is that Mubarak step down.  A reformed Mubarak, if indeed possible, seems to fall short of this demand.
6.  Thirty years of Mubarak's iron-fist rule is too much for the Egyptians who deserve better government, but the US thinks differently:  Mubarak is still needed ... to fend off the Islamists.
7.  The latter objective has been the main reason the West supports authoritarian and corrupt regimes of the Middle East  - besides the interest of Israel and possibly oil.
8.  When Lebanon's new prime minister, a Sunni as required by the constitution, receives the blessings of Hezbollah, the US issued a veiled threat that justice must be upheld (in the murder of Rafik Hariri which the West would like ti implicate Hezbollah) and that Lebabon should be free from 'foreign interventions' (read Syrian and Iranian.)
9.  The bloody role of Israel in Lebanon as in the 1982 Sabra and Shatilla massacres and the 2008 destructive war are never mentioned.
10.  That Hezbollah is a reaction of the Lebanese people to Israeli aggression - and the only effective toll against it - is conveniently ignored by the West.

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